As wildfires rage across North Carolina and we continue to add to the days without rain in Charlotte, perhaps it's time to re-evaluate our opinion of "good weather."
When you ask someone what's your definition of "good" weather, my bet is they'd say not too warm, not too cold and no rain or snow. Unless of course it's Christmas, and then they want snow... but we'll leave that out of this blog post...
But "good" weather is different for everyone. Consider the farmers whose crops need water. Consider the marina owners, who are dealing with water levels so low on lakes that they're being forced to close their marinas. Think about the firefighters who have spent days away from their families fighting fires, many started due to the carelessness of others. "Good" weather's definition varies for everyone.
Part of the reason for the continued warmth and lack of rainfall in the southeast has been our upper level air flow. The Jet Stream, an area of strong winds in the upper atmosphere has remained to our north, and not really dove down into our region at all.
The other part of the problem has been storm tracks. While some areas of the southeast have dealt with massive flooding, such as Louisiana and the eastern part of NC/SC, other's have been left dry. While this is mainly luck, a large part of our seasonal rainfall can come from tropical cyclones. We obviously don't want damage,but a weak tropical cyclone can bring a nice soaking rain to a region behind in its rainfall.
As we look ahead to the next few weeks, there's not a ton of good news in the rainfall department. The GFS and European models both show limited rainfall. In short, there's nothing coming down the pipeline that is going to break or even significantly help this drought anytime soon..